Cuddly-Sculptural
0xb513cfa6d1ef4c69a993bae7e7529e24e859f628
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-59.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
642 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$587.43
$28.89
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
236 shares @ 84.8¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$224.97
$24.97
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
200 shares @ 71.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$189.00
$45.31
- NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.25
$22.25
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
135 shares @ 84.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$76.94
$-36.46
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$12.83
$0.70
- YES
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
200 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
200 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$24.10May 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$8.52May 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$121.33May 16, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$99.00May 16, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$132.43May 16, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$50.00Apr 15, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$100.00Apr 15, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$200.00Apr 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$7.25Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$16.32Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$59.30Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$9.80Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.35Apr 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$12.00Apr 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$13.40Apr 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$38.00Apr 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$48.00Apr 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$16.60Apr 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$7.10Apr 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$6.60Apr 8, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".