Impossible-Folk
0xb51d64fddb8e10caacd2120a9ad83cccd85081a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$119.67
Total PnL
$-89.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.35
$3.35
- NO
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?
54 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$50.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
114 shares @ 35.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.07
$-26.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
343 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.25
$-31.01
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
707 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$34.26Apr 10, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$10.00Apr 10, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$25.00Apr 9, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?$50.00Apr 9, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$30.00Apr 9, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Apr 9, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.95Apr 9, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$5.00Apr 9, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $26.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".