Accurate-Underneath
0xb54644284e9f9edd20799083618f24fa1a3333e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$114.36
Realised
$-320.79
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4687 shares @ 35.8¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.4K
$687.40
- NO
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1690 shares @ 88.4¢·now 84.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$-59.99
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
504 shares @ 44.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$115.98
$-107.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
42 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-22.25
- YES
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?
20 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 23?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Phase" or "Term" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- UP
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23?
20 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$87.50May 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$11.16May 18, 02:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.35May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$89.04May 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.25May 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.43May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.3KMay 16, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5.00May 16, 05:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.51May 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$82.19May 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.95May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$2.57May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$6.19May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$14.44May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$18.53May 15, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?$5.00May 15, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?$20.00May 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$117.78May 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5.00May 15, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $76.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".