Jaunty-Observatory
0xb5850dc38019ce8bccd9fe22f63c1823c29f3267
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$234.52
Total PnL
$12.59
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
190 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$189.94
$28.06
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.57
$-0.29
- YES
Will Harry Hall win the 2025 Travelers Championship?
170 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro?
150 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
130 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Iranian coup attempt before July?
130 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?
103 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $113.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".