Scientific-Expectation
0xb58f2ba871e42e68ed1708018f1ee1c5275f5c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$42.27
Total PnL
$-246.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Ida get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$25.00
$12.50
- TELEKOM BASKETS BONN
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Wuerzburg
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$8.32
$1.02
- KK CRVENA ZVEZDA
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$6.51
$-5.54
- YES
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 10.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.45
$-9.55
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
67 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-34.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
63 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-32.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-30.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
58 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.53
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
50 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-25.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan$12.05May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTelekom Baskets Bonn vs. Wuerzburg$7.30May 15, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMFenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas$16.20May 15, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman$18.50May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYManresa vs. Basket Zaragoza$6.34May 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants$7.87May 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLimoges vs. Boulazac$9.44May 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman$9.25Apr 29, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMDominika Salkova vs. Yasmine Mansouri: Total Sets O/U 2.5$13.00Apr 29, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMDEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Koelner Haie$19.60Apr 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas$8.10Apr 25, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 BIFA Cup: Dragon Xi vs Kokrajhar$0.05Apr 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 BIFA Cup: Dragon Xi vs Kokrajhar$10.75Apr 22, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Koelner Haie$9.80Apr 15, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDominika Salkova vs. Yasmine Mansouri: Total Sets O/U 2.5$6.60Apr 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Central American Championship: Brazil vs Costa Rica$35.60Apr 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.15Apr 5, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Brisbane Champions League: Brisbane Napoleons vs Iconic Super Knights$13.10Apr 3, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Central American Championship: Brazil vs Costa Rica$17.80Mar 30, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMProvidence Friars vs. Georgetown Hoyas$30.63Mar 30, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $16.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".