Lawful-Relationship
0xb5aa80fc3ebec3317e2a5586f36f85781465c200
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$297.75
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$600.58
Win rate
77%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
160 shares @ 38.1¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.60
$16.60
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
55 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$48.94
$0.55
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.15
$2.05
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
35 shares @ 70.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.27
$5.63
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
200 shares @ 11.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$26.00
$3.60
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$10.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 53.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.85
$-7.05
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.67
$3.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$21.94May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.14May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$19.26May 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.81May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$48.39May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.35May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.27May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$22.40May 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$7.00May 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$9.80May 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$31.05May 15, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?$79.99May 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$15.45May 15, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?$4.15May 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?$15.85May 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.34May 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$25.12May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.14May 14, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.00May 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.00May 14, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".