Instructive-Pagoda
0xb5b657ccc19b3626b34589c38a4f9240c3a01fda
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$70.43
Realised
$-12.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
1236 shares @ 72.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$870.65
$-29.35
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1077 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$748.16
$48.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
941 shares @ 19.7¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$649.00
$463.69
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1567 shares @ 30.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$532.00
$55.01
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
943 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$495.28
$-4.72
- NO
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
642 shares @ 77.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$417.50
$-82.50
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
295 shares @ 67.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$259.61
$59.61
- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
295 shares @ 67.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$194.49
$-5.51
- NO
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
118 shares @ 84.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$113.58
$13.58
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$104.24
$4.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$509.40May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$102.65May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$101.20May 16, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$51.51May 16, 04:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.64May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$202.40May 15, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$43.81May 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$178.22May 15, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$280.11May 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$51.48May 15, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$102.20May 15, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?$504.72May 15, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$416.13May 15, 02:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.01May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$13.02May 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$102.03May 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?$102.39May 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?$102.44May 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$102.12May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.76May 14, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $148.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".