Neglected-Sturgeon
0xb5db056ed7e8605e0c5276cb06b7d19d6d4cf0e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$309.09
Total PnL
$-162.95
Realised
$-5.52
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
118 shares @ 79.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.05
$-17.96
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
71 shares @ 82.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.48
$7.79
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
84 shares @ 73.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$60.80
$-0.54
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
42 shares @ 83.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
17 shares @ 76.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.09
$2.09
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.00
$12.00
- NO
ECB rate hike in 2026?
143 shares @ 24.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.70
$-23.80
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
8 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$7.36
$0.36
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$3.26
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.48May 6, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$0.00May 6, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.00May 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$35.38May 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$15.21May 6, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$6.10May 6, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$38.43May 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.85Apr 30, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$1.82Apr 30, 20:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$6.38Apr 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$30.00Apr 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$2.30Apr 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?$1.00Apr 2, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add at least 100k jobs in March?$3.00Apr 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$10.00Apr 2, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$5.00Apr 1, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$1.00Apr 1, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.00Apr 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".