Elastic-Modification
0xb5e1c90a5919f8547164c68702ccdb19cacc30f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$50.05
Total PnL
$-30.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
31 shares @ 62.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.84
$0.84
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
33 shares @ 36.2¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.62
$0.61
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.28
$3.28
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.78
$1.84
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
9 shares @ 69.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.61
$-2.39
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
31 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-0.30
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
18 shares @ 10.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
14 shares @ 35.4¢·now 3.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.45
$-4.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-1.79
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$-4.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.63May 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.15May 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$15.22May 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$22.49May 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$2.05May 11, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$5.36May 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?$2.05May 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$3.04May 7, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi$3.25May 6, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$3.07May 6, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer$3.05May 6, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi$2.52May 6, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$9.76May 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$6.06May 3, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$4.07May 3, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$10.89May 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.08May 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$4.06May 3, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?$7.46May 3, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?$5.05May 2, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".