Serious-Guerrilla
0xb64b3c23b9fd542ea9625407a8f0652f59bcbdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$25.05
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 6?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 6?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?$5.00May 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 6?$5.00May 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 6?$5.00May 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.00May 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$5.01Apr 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$5.00Apr 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.98Apr 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.98Apr 7, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$5.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 7 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$5.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$5.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$5.04Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$5.05Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?$5.05Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$5.06Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?$10.01Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$5.00Mar 5, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 5, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".