0xb6510229d322ffc73fb146d954099dfa95662089
0xb6510229d322ffc73fb146d954099dfa95662089
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-167.41
Win rate
25%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5741 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$660.24
$-28.70
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
158 shares @ 65.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$100.52
$-2.60
- YES
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
199 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.86
$-0.99
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
277 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.29
$-20.76
- NO
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$23.31
$-1.47
- YES
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?
164 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.51
$-5.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.10
$-6.90
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.61
$-7.38
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.00
$2.38
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.00
$2.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$24.27May 9, 23:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$4.50May 8, 20:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$9.24May 7, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.23May 5, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$5.27May 5, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$4.84May 5, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$25.18May 5, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".