Reflecting-Leisure
0xb66582886125a2a2ea966f1ea60ea60b6ecabf8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$305.0K
Total PnL
$14.1K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
210000 shares @ 83.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.1K
$14.4K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
160000 shares @ 70.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.2K
$-1.4K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3985 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.8K
$67.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$80.24May 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.7KMay 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.1KMay 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$8.8KMay 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.3KMay 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$6.2KMay 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$6.2KMay 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.0KMay 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.0KMay 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.6KMay 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.0KMay 2, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.6KMay 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.2KMay 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$12.3KMay 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.9KMay 2, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.9KMay 2, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.2KMay 2, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.7KMay 2, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$37.91May 2, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.48May 2, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".