Untried-Essay
0xb68f600fccb180259f5cdde11a7f94ebc9576fd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$856.39
Total PnL
$-97.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
150 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$129.75
$8.25
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.07
$-1.43
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
150 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$117.75
$-14.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
80 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$74.80
$11.60
- NO
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
80 shares @ 88.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$72.44
$1.32
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
80 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.20
$4.40
- YES
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
150 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$62.25
$-2.25
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
80 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.40
$-3.60
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 51.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$45.75
$-30.75
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
80 shares @ 78.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$34.00
$-28.40
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$12.80May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$34.50May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$2.93May 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$121.50May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$19.57May 17, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$54.63May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$79.98May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$80.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$80.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$80.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $51.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".