0xb6e41aa97479e0da14ad19de2fda24f94f14e53f
0xb6e41aa97479e0da14ad19de2fda24f94f14e53f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$68.12
Total PnL
$-8.36
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
64 shares @ 39.7¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.14
$-5.21
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$0.25
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 64.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$-2.77
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.14
$-0.86
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.34
$0.34
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.65
$-0.36
- NO
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 88.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMO/U 0.5 Rounds$4.04May 17, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.16May 16, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by submission?$0.00May 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 1.5 Rounds$0.00May 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 0.5 Rounds$4.17May 10, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.04May 4, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$5.00May 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$2.04May 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.00May 3, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.03May 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?$2.00May 1, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?$2.00May 1, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?$4.00May 1, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 0.5 Rounds$4.00May 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$4.00May 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 0.5 Rounds$4.00May 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$4.00May 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?$4.00May 1, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 1.5 Rounds$3.15Apr 29, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".