Bumpy-Stonework
0xb708eaadd8e3b1f01c5f3c025e8901bc469162fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$25.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
960 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$953.76
$29.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
323 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$314.44
$5.33
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
110 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.08
$2.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10PM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$924.48Apr 24, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$110.00Apr 3, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$115.28Apr 3, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$723.58Apr 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$12.29Mar 30, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$296.82Mar 30, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$110.00Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$200.00Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$720.69Mar 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$109.45Mar 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$105.93Mar 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$109.89Mar 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$199.40Mar 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$113.32Mar 2, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.60Mar 2, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$54.32Mar 2, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$106.13Mar 2, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$300.00Mar 2, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$884.56Mar 2, 16:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Feb 14, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $281.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".