Numb-Timber
0xb70de1ef3082eb043ee5b08e90312224e135253a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$12.78
Total PnL
$-10.78
Realised
$-17.46
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in May?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 27.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.42
$4.62
- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May?
8 shares @ 1.0¢·now 37.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.85
$2.78
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.28
$-0.27
- YES
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
3 shares @ 10.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.23
$0.92
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 38.4¢·now 19.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.88
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
3 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.44
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
1 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?$0.00May 15, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?$8.91May 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?$8.24May 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 14?$0.12May 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?$14.94May 14, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?$8.28May 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?$2.49May 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?$1.74May 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?$2.71May 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?$4.18May 14, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?$6.90May 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?$8.30May 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?$2.37May 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?$1.84May 14, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?$3.11May 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?$2.88May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May?$0.05May 14, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 13?$0.00May 13, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?$0.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?$0.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".