Amusing-Strap
0xb76f635e28d3a6790460e91ee4f69552eb100854
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$69.17
Total PnL
$-6.19
Realised
$5.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
19 shares @ 30.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.19
$7.61
- YES
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.37
$0.37
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.46
$0.46
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.55
$0.05
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
26 shares @ 30.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$-3.71
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.08
$-0.92
- YES
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-1.60
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-6.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$0.11May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$0.03May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.02May 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$8.07May 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00May 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$1.07May 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.05May 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$9.80Apr 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.00Apr 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$10.00Apr 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.80Apr 16, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$4.07Apr 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.43Apr 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$1.50Apr 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$30.94Apr 9, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?$0.00Apr 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".