Agile-Selfesteem
0xb779436770333f8d584dd8a61fba3910c324ab22
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$-33.10
Win rate
48%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
1266 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$50.63
- NO
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1212 shares @ 85.4¢·now 84.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$-6.83
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$845.00
$-15.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
888 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$785.88
$-13.32
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
1000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$725.00
$-55.00
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$634.88
$184.96
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
945 shares @ 52.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$553.00
$61.31
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2000 shares @ 21.8¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$479.00
$42.01
- NO
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
568 shares @ 56.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$471.62
$153.61
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
600 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$450.00
$-66.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.89May 18, 07:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$86.00May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5$58.00May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-8.5)$14.68May 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$107.49May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$132.52May 17, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$8.98May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$9.36May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$324.39May 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$23.90May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$8.75May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$176.65May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$207.55May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?$4.73May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?$2.07May 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Posture" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$35.37May 17, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $73.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".