Lumpy-Strip
0xb7b0c84897c11cb0ad7855a3a81ccc8024f5d650
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$15.5K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-814.31
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
4414 shares @ 71.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.8K
$-359.60
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1406 shares @ 76.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.4K
$330.03
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1208 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.2K
$141.92
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1070 shares @ 60.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$414.77
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
707 shares @ 91.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$697.15
$47.78
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
666 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$665.52
$125.84
- NO
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
783 shares @ 90.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$638.12
$-71.64
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
682 shares @ 82.7¢·now 92.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$627.78
$63.81
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
600 shares @ 85.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$598.48
$84.50
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
548 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$534.43
$19.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$11.84May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?$28.03May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$33.26May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$34.76May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$53.32May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?$71.68May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?$100.00May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$126.75May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$173.29May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$430.07May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$521.33May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$867.80May 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.4KMay 14, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $74.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".