Vivacious-Rawhide
0xb7c8a8c1ef7087d9e3fcf5c1bc8c4d16ff55e573
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$695.13
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
571 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.80
$-37.20
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1235 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.85
$1.85
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
353 shares @ 34.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.06
$-22.94
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1087 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.76
$-9.24
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
9674 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$82.23
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$51.67
$1.67
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
304 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.22
$-19.78
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
1330 shares @ 11.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$35.25
$-115.75
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.69
$-83.31
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
207 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.61
$-24.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 18, 05:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$50.82May 17, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$481.85May 17, 14:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.91May 16, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.98May 15, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.0KMay 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$101.05May 15, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$52.79May 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00May 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$301.61May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$103.56May 14, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.76May 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$114.48May 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.30May 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.76May 14, 10:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $210.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".