Improbable-Cormorant
0xb8076edb7c0de95bb53b5cb6e2bffa5afd7f99cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$396.31
Realised
$465.64
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$970.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
1916 shares @ 49.2¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$935.92
$-6.83
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
400 shares @ 62.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$294.00
$46.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
300 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$274.36
$-2.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
488 shares @ 34.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$148.80
$-17.08
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
439 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$142.64
$6.58
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
385 shares @ 23.1¢·now 11.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$42.34
$-46.70
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20913 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.37
$10.46
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
969 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.06May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.39May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.06May 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.06May 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.04May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.04May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00May 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00May 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.03May 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.03May 18, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".