Hopeful-Hardboard
0xb8188867bd6c6c40a9aa1dea8094185beeb9838c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.86
Total PnL
$-16.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
8 shares @ 42.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$4.20
$0.84
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
7 shares @ 57.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.66
$-1.34
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$5.64May 15, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$0.12May 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$0.14May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$7.95May 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$0.05May 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$5.60May 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$4.60May 7, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$3.09May 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$3.36May 2, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$1.02May 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLChirayu Rana fired?$4.00May 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$2.24May 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.94May 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$3.01Apr 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$3.05Apr 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$4.03Apr 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.00Apr 27, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".