Elaborate-Cashier
0xb8b44e3cc9e0962982e3c8bf444b6a7411f51f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$168.0K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$579.89
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
30752 shares @ 52.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.4K
$12.2K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
30709 shares @ 71.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.2K
$3.3K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
32627 shares @ 40.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.3K
$11.0K
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
26812 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.9K
$4.7K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
23586 shares @ 87.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.8K
$2.1K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
17198 shares @ 58.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.7K
$3.7K
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
7940 shares @ 88.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.7K
$658.52
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
5661 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.5K
$282.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
12037 shares @ 42.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$91.63
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
6958 shares @ 82.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$-537.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$307.51May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$47.09May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$47.09May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$192.20May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$55.40May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$65.18May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$76.68May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$90.22May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$106.13May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$15.76May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$124.86May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$58.67May 18, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.5KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.9KMay 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$3.0KMay 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$5.12May 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$4.18May 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$117.48May 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$15.34May 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$53.00May 12, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $332.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".