Back-Id
0xb8e2a2ee54e707926dc732c43032b2d3c5987df9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$88.53
Total PnL
$-222.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
49 shares @ 40.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.61
$28.71
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next?
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 43.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.48
$11.48
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$-4.41
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-5.16
- YES
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
24 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.36
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.19
$-3.81
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.94
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.93
$-8.07
- YES
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.44Apr 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.67Apr 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.16Apr 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next?$2.00Apr 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$2.00Apr 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $2.00Apr 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00Apr 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$2.00Apr 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$4.00Apr 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 22, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?$0.00Mar 22, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$0.00Mar 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$0.00Mar 11, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$0.00Mar 11, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$0.00Mar 11, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$18.18Mar 11, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".