Prime-Basis
0xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$34.4K
Total PnL
$123.71
Realised
$199.69
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
17768 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$17.7K
$489.15
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
11018 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.0K
$-3.13
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
3942 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.9K
$51.67
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
1023 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.0K
$0.86
- NO
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
173 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 24, 2026$172.00
$0.12
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
8541 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.31
$-9.69
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
3759 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$107.14
$-18.44
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
721 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$90.14
$-3.60
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
677 shares @ 2.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$57.25
$43.02
- YES
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
796 shares @ 3.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.14
$18.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$651.38May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.1KMay 18, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.5KMay 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$7.60May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$42.48May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.54May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$513.00May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$13.76May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.24May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.17May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.18May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.21May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.18May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.20May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.22May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$34.81May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$21.20May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.18May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.03May 18, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $153.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".