Strident-Challenge
0xb976b1cf4006189198c31726a3196680f82dc213
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-167.73
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- SPACEX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
1523 shares @ 72.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.2K
$133.26
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
414 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$312.57
$-14.49
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$290.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
253 shares @ 25.9¢·now 35.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.18
$23.66
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.15
$7.92
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
211 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.15
$-85.46
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-0.43
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.88
$0.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.77
$0.26
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$42.00Apr 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$103.40Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$219.78Apr 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$219.12Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$452.20Apr 23, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$159.94Apr 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.67Apr 13, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?$170.00Apr 13, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$369.00Apr 13, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMTulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)$527.00Apr 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$98.28Apr 12, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$145.86Apr 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$148.50Apr 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$110.76Apr 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$669.00Apr 11, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.96Apr 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$7.35Apr 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$37.65Apr 9, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$402.28Apr 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$331.32Apr 9, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $224.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".