Grizzled-Strudel
0xb98044b49fdb4b06b88e9628a4e56366057473b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$927.66
Total PnL
$-176.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
403 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.41
$10.55
- NO
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 88.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$197.20
$20.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
45 shares @ 31.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.62
$30.49
- NO
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?
47 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$41.13
$3.05
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
38 shares @ 76.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.50
$2.95
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 33.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.59
$11.33
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
46 shares @ 62.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.40
$-10.12
- YES
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 62.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.47
$1.66
- NO
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.00
$10.20
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
373 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.39
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$0.99May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?$20.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?$25.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?$25.18May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$27.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?$28.90May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?$28.90May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$29.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?$29.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 75000?$30.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$44.00May 10, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMOpenGradient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$18.66Apr 26, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMOpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?$18.66Apr 26, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$200.00Apr 26, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?$14.32Apr 24, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?$6.64Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?$5.44Apr 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?$12.41Apr 21, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of April 13 2026?$0.48Apr 20, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMFC Ōsaka vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: O/U 1.5$11.50Apr 20, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $13.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".