Unfinished-Outlet
0xb99368e321b123906203246eff8e4b5a74a66e3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-27.40
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
886 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$886.00
$203.78
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
538 shares @ 77.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$521.05
$105.72
- NO
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
384 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.48
$-13.44
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
767 shares @ 42.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.54
$-57.60
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
151 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$151.00
$75.95
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
166 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$147.74
$34.86
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$87.00
$7.80
- YES
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
225 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$36.00
$-9.00
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.00
$0.15
- NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23?
1118 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-760.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$20.14Apr 7, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$116.76Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$682.22Apr 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$415.34Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?$5.00Apr 7, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMEureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)$172.00Apr 7, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)$321.00Apr 7, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Peace" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$555.00Apr 7, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$314.30Mar 30, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$133.90Mar 29, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$0.26Mar 29, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$27.80Mar 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$17.20Mar 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$322.14Mar 29, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?$500.34Mar 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$314.30Mar 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Peace" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$421.80Mar 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$80.16Mar 24, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?$71.41Mar 24, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?$236.43Mar 24, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $300.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".