Delicious-Lace
0xba16149d96ce4e8e523dc83876057bef4083d417
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$20.93
Total PnL
$-451.87
Realised
$-24.35
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
46 shares @ 21.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
314 shares @ 6.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.31
$-10.79
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.71
$-6.29
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
320 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
261 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
180 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.42
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
xAI IPO before 2027?
137 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.30Apr 26, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.00Apr 21, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?$10.00Apr 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$30.35Apr 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$3.59Apr 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.06Apr 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.18Apr 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$12.31Mar 17, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$10.00Mar 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$39.16Mar 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 25, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MEXC be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$10.00Feb 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.06Feb 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$3.15Feb 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$8.33Jan 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$0.11Jan 25, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. 76ers$20.00Jan 24, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".