0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$760.96
Total PnL
$-153.44
Realised
$107.09
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
280 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$113.40
$1.40
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$75.75
$0.75
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
120 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$68.99
$3.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
96 shares @ 68.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.49
$1.49
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.45
$-4.55
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
480 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.20
$-16.80
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
370 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.65
$-12.95
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
340 shares @ 22.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.50
$-32.98
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
300 shares @ 23.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$41.40
$-30.30
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
610 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.65
$-33.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?$1.05May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Collier announced as next James Bond?$1.05May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?$1.05May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.20May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?$1.05May 18, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$112.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$59.00May 18, 04:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$133.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.78May 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.41May 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.15May 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$13.00May 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$13.00May 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.15May 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00May 17, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.30May 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.16May 17, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $27.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".