Possible-Preoccupation
0xba3d49c2a77e782ac0dee046f82a66db5290cdfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-463.70
Realised
$-151.73
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
869 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$868.57
$0.43
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
458 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$393.88
$54.96
- OPENAI
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
1340 shares @ 21.3¢·now 19.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$259.96
$-25.46
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
123 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$115.00
$17.83
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
458 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$64.12
$-50.38
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
67 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.27
$-13.47
- YES
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
222 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-95.46
- YES
Will Trump say "Olympics" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
113 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-76.84
- YES
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
96 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- NO
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
94 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-44.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$101.76Apr 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$338.92Apr 23, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$194.00Apr 23, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.95Apr 13, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$532.00Apr 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$285.42Mar 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$285.67Mar 13, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$390.26Mar 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$15.36Mar 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELL100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?$282.10Mar 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELL100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?$91.91Mar 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$21.12Mar 6, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?$361.68Mar 6, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?$0.60Mar 4, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?$2.00Mar 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?$3.43Feb 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?$4.00Feb 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?$4.14Feb 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$0.70Feb 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Tariff" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$18.17Feb 26, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $111.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".