Vague-Socialism

• NO

  Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

  24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028

  $13.69

  $3.93

• NO

  Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

  10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026

  $10.00

  $8.00

• NO

  Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

  8 shares @ 62.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026

  $7.96

  $2.96

• NO

  Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

  8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026

  $7.58

  $2.58

• NO

  Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

  8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $6.79

  $4.79

• YES

  Trump out as President before 2027?

  63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $5.94

  $-4.06

• YES

  Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

  6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026

  $5.71

  $3.71

• YES

  Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

  23 shares @ 23.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028

  $3.73

  $-1.57

• YES

  Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

  10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027

  $2.25

  $0.25

• YES

  Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

  2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026

  $2.14

  $0.14

• TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.57Apr 28, 19:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$2.02Apr 28, 19:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2026?$2.08Apr 28, 19:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 23:43 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 23:42 UTC
• TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Apr 22, 23:39 UTC
• TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 23:37 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 23:36 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 23:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.35Apr 22, 23:31 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 23:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 23:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$5.47Apr 22, 23:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$10.00Apr 22, 23:18 UTC
• REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
• REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
• REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10.00Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
• REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$22.22Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
• REDEEMWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$23.08Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 22:58 UTC

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