Average-Instinct
0xba5858b78fa97c7236630599fda5a04f100b8842
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$110.76
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?
15846 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.61
$-260.38
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?
10434 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$36.52
$-213.68
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?
23087 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$34.63
$-465.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18?
92807 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-92.81
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 10?
82848 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-92.79
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 12?
50116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11?
46407 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-92.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
34390 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-92.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?
26329 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-26.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13?
25667 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-92.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?$267.30May 9, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$0.00May 4, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$0.00May 4, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$0.00May 4, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET$70.16May 3, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?$321.19May 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?$535.22May 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$24.99Apr 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$25.88Apr 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in April?$200.00Apr 22, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$51.60Apr 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$70.00Apr 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$0.00Apr 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$53.02Apr 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 20?$100.00Apr 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 19?$49.87Apr 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18?$100.00Apr 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?$100.00Apr 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?$28.37Apr 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?$30.56Apr 16, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $92.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".