Vain-Snowmobiling
0xba5d26a8d3035df667275ba048a16ceeecead1a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$96.75
Total PnL
$-587.94
Realised
$-26.93
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
501 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.60
$12.53
- YES
Will G3V E-sports win LRN 2026 Split 1?
750 shares @ 38.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.50
$-267.25
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
250 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.38
$-3.25
- NO
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
45 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$6.96
$-0.67
- NO
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.15
$0.09
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
12 shares @ 23.9¢·now 48.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.56
$2.80
- YES
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
97 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.21
$-8.46
- YES
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.40
$0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1214 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?
99 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-16.81
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.27May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$190.00May 17, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$22.54May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$42.00May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.62May 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.84May 17, 11:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.41May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$11.98May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$84.62May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$135.38May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$190.00May 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$8.73May 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$16.30May 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$44.74May 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$129.66May 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$197.50May 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$65.00May 16, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paper Rex win VCT 2026: Pacific League Stage 1?$77.71May 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$10.01May 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$92.11May 16, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $51.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".