Impressive-Scarecrow
0xba62c8a60f8154be11a8e9bd1bce5617992458e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$8.9K
Total PnL
$-30.4K
Realised
$33.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
2000 shares @ 80.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$217.00
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1407 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$893.69
$-77.23
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
850 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$850.06
$54.30
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
725 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$715.51
$15.86
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
521 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$513.13
$0.97
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
400 shares @ 92.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$366.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
551 shares @ 96.2¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$356.77
$-173.17
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
318 shares @ 91.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$299.27
$6.77
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
231 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$227.86
$1.46
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
200 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$197.70
$0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$18.20May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$16.40May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$0.06May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$4.44May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$3.16May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$18.60May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.40May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$0.51May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$6.60May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$17.63May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$8.20May 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$17.60May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$18.60May 18, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.99May 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$0.10May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$9.70May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$8.20May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$7.60May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$18.40May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.63May 18, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".