Chief-Neologism
0xba89e5346aaa832e449434f000afb3cbf0add976
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$146.66
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$2.26
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$43.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.20
$7.80
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25 shares @ 85.9¢·now 65.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.30
$-5.16
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.55
$6.15
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.55
$-0.45
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.70
$-9.90
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.19
$0.31
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 78.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.33
$-9.42
- YES
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026
9 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.61
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.60May 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.69May 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.23May 18, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.00May 13, 19:20 UTC
- MERGEWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$74.99May 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.30May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.61May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.59May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$27.60May 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.65May 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.51May 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.94May 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.45May 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.94May 9, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.55May 9, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.13May 7, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.00May 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$12.98May 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$14.62May 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.23May 5, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".