Complicated-Thermometer
0xbab61261c15b53e6a0caa2cd21e0098c725650a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-76.0K
Realised
$820.79
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
37036 shares @ 17.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-4.2K
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
1528 shares @ 62.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$95.83
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2254 shares @ 35.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$394.42
$-393.79
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
404 shares @ 43.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.80
$8.08
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2051 shares @ 57.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.22
$-1.0K
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
252 shares @ 51.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.06
$-26.46
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
1727 shares @ 28.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.15
$-383.33
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
2348 shares @ 48.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.17
$-1.1K
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
47 shares @ 26.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.02
$-1.56
- NO
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJuventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score$303.87May 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Como 1907 (-1.5)$153.06May 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Como 1907 (-1.5)$118.44May 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Como 1907 (-1.5)$360.07May 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.03May 17, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.25May 17, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$878.13May 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$926.15May 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$930.08May 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.7KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.4KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.5KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.8KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.9KMay 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$221.15May 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$347.11May 17, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $132.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".