Happy-Go-Lucky-Surplus
0xbad973e9b54c4b9eaaf4c3a213c946236dde7ad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$464.98
Total PnL
$613.77
Realised
$615.29
Win rate
100%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
694 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.94
$-1.25
- YES
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?
6844 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$44.49
$-2.16
- YES
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
936 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$38.83
$6.51
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
569 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.29
$-0.23
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1576 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.16
$-0.64
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2071 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.67
$0.08
- YES
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1119 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$18.47
$0.56
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1742 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.30
$-0.46
- YES
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1257 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$18.22
$0.31
- YES
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
460 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$16.79
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.94May 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.06May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.03May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.75May 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.50May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.74May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.33May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.02May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.08May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.09May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.06May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.03May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.04May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.04May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.22May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.30May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.93May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.45May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.01May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.90May 18, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".