Plump-Crude
0xbae0e0453264bea0d8767d2a5907b6a692205cd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-325.02
Realised
$11.73
Win rate
26%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3720 shares @ 12.3¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$370.15
$-85.67
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
257 shares @ 32.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$142.80
$59.76
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
978 shares @ 4.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.58
$36.87
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
64 shares @ 71.6¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.34
$6.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
55 shares @ 90.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.17
$-2.09
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
77 shares @ 44.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.44
$-2.60
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.29
$-22.71
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
25 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.03
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
70 shares @ 29.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.98
$-5.85
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
118 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.71
$-7.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winner$3.90May 18, 02:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winner$3.90May 17, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$140.02May 17, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$72.00May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$14.36May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$15.99May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$1.99May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$5.34May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5$25.71May 16, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.19May 15, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$112.98May 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03May 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$20.16May 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$6.00May 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$33.60May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$9.60May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$12.45May 15, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".