Guilty-Ideal
0xbbbcec90d7275173d6e66c0b72bfa784b3159e0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$228.89
Total PnL
$-58.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
229 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$228.89
$-0.11
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Rockets
54 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.19
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers
47 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- NETS
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
34 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- NETS
Hornets vs. Nets
33 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- MAVERICKS
Clippers vs. Mavericks
27 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- JAZZ
Raptors vs. Jazz
27 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NETS
Nets vs. Warriors
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$229.01May 18, 04:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$228.74May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$229.01May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$219.72May 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$220.05May 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$238.68May 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$239.07May 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$242.73May 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$243.01May 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$184.80May 15, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$185.02May 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$235.69May 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$236.06May 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$187.69May 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$188.11May 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$231.70May 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$232.06May 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$189.72May 12, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $217.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".