Modest-Geography
0xbc17c81da71b3d85143a3c903ccd0d24c1c5c01c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$347.58
Realised
$118.06
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
458 shares @ 32.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$332.02
$183.89
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
551 shares @ 36.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$228.66
$25.38
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
450 shares @ 19.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$195.75
$109.32
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
300 shares @ 42.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$130.50
$3.50
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
203 shares @ 55.6¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$106.51
$-6.36
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
520 shares @ 11.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.60
$-29.82
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.50
$4.50
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
78 shares @ 24.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.90
$0.57
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?
198 shares @ 5.5¢·now 7.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.64
$4.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.78May 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?$0.90May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?$4.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?$6.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$1.45May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$1.05May 18, 03:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?$5.54May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$6.63May 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$2.22May 17, 01:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.10May 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$0.05May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$0.15May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$0.42May 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.98May 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$0.31May 16, 15:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.33May 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.82May 15, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".