Ethical-Mallard
0xbc26f1a203fd63eca62bb3cc9e178c4e2205190e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$382.40
Total PnL
$-1.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
373 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$372.56
$0.56
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Saxon Callahan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.81
$0.01
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$5.00May 6, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$372.11May 6, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$23.09May 6, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$357.66May 6, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$23.00Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$6.01Apr 22, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$19.02Apr 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$6.00Apr 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$357.00Apr 9, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$19.00Apr 9, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$27.03Apr 9, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$357.36Apr 9, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$27.00Mar 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$357.00Mar 12, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?$6.00Mar 12, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$6.00Mar 12, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$383.00Mar 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$5.93Feb 7, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?$5.99Feb 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$382.23Feb 7, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $226.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".