0xbc3e0e480f7f75b76b96bdc46ece11ab6f3f6693
0xbc3e0e480f7f75b76b96bdc46ece11ab6f3f6693
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1601 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$88.07
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1144 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$85.78
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1207 shares @ 82.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$947.59
$-47.41
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
904 shares @ 88.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$375.11
$-420.89
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
562 shares @ 88.5¢·now 44.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$252.22
$-245.28
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1421 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.61
$-92.39
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
112 shares @ 40.4¢·now 27.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.69
$-14.61
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.6¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.5KMay 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$199.00May 13, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.0KMay 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.0KMay 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $1.04May 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $1.04May 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$536.47May 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 12, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$3.1KMay 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.34May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.34May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$50.28May 11, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1.4KMay 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$442.41May 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$966.87May 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1.6KMay 9, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$1.6KMay 9, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $515.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".