Palatable-Physics
0xbc4f9a739088514aa39c400b14ff0a769bd9f3df
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$242.71
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
5006 shares @ 15.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$220.28
$-550.31
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
909 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.36
$-13.64
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
540 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.21
$-13.79
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
270 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.86
$-24.84
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
29663 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-188.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
11440 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-114.88
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?
6260 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.95
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$29.70Apr 28, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 28, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 28, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$249.49Jan 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?$99.95Jan 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$0.00Jan 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$97.94Jan 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$95.00Jan 19, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$99.60Jan 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$100.00Jan 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$159.68Jan 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$104.88Jan 9, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$610.92Jan 9, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $108.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".