Lawful-Guarantee
0xbc5439445f0bc7f29140e0e87870bd2c0295cb1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$279.86
Total PnL
$-52.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
283 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$279.86
$-0.14
- GRIZZLIES
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
45 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
41 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Lakers
29 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
18 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$280.11May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$187.79May 18, 09:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$188.01May 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$218.72May 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$219.05May 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$212.73May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$213.04May 16, 07:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$210.71May 15, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$211.07May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$253.72May 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$254.01May 14, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$206.76May 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$207.01May 11, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$254.67May 11, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$255.06May 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$275.69May 10, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $218.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".