Ajar-Whirlwind
0xbc5739410e37acf39be446116c4400c97189753b
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$682.25
Total PnL
$5.41
Realised
$148.53
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
800 shares @ 73.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.89
$-32.07
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
88 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.91
$1.42
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
46 shares @ 95.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.45
$-2.77
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 22,000,000 and 24,000,000?
800 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
267 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-13.37
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
50 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
39 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?$7.54Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?$681.77Apr 6, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?$2.87Mar 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$12.48Mar 9, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$11.02Mar 9, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.78Mar 9, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.43Mar 9, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.65Mar 9, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.12Mar 9, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Mar 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.39Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.52Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.04Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.35Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.09Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.60Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.89Mar 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$4.71Mar 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$16.80Mar 8, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".