Alert-Meaning
0xbc6202285ab43bbf1c03b4336880d77ff58ce8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$356.27
Total PnL
$-259.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$119.08
$19.08
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
103 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$101.63
$1.63
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
102 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$100.84
$0.84
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$13.48
$1.48
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.24
$1.24
- NO
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Another US debt downgrade in 2025?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
68 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGavin Newsom arrested by December 31?$10.16Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMGerman government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?$10.75Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$11.24Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$11.36Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?$11.49Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2025?$11.49Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$11.49Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?$11.63Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$11.63Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$11.68Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$13.89Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$14.14Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMVon der Leyen out in 2025?$21.51Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMNord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?$21.51Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US recognize Palestine in 2025?$24.44Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$32.93Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMAfD banned in 2025?$33.30Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$33.57Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$37.06Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$55.93Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $28.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".