Ugly-Hill
0xbc6f657372ecfda575bc6d1b96bea44fe58d7393
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$25.80
Total PnL
$-23.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- ZDENEK KOLAR
Oeiras 4: Zdenek Kolar vs Zhizhen Zhang
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.49
$1.32
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 93.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.78
$-0.03
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
2 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.77
$0.10
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$-0.08
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.6¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$0.08
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-0.06
- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$0.02
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.45
$0.00
- NO
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker$1.20May 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordoba: Juan Estevez vs Andrea Collarini$1.28May 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Thanasi Kokkinakis$1.18May 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Zdenek Kolar vs Zhizhen Zhang$1.19May 12, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnley$1.28May 12, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?$1.28May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Wild$2.09May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$2.12May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.38May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage$1.61May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: The Last Resort vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$1.62May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs$1.62May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$1.68May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage$1.69May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.75May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$2.00May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.53May 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2+ contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?$1.20May 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.15May 11, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Wild$1.19May 11, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".