Thoughtful-Scimitar
0xbca69be5edef416ba701f9a3a2983efdf58273e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.6K
$1.6K
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2574 shares @ 42.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$95.49
- YES
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3697 shares @ 8.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$850.32
$554.56
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$705.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1070 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$497.62
$-37.46
- NO
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
563 shares @ 54.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$466.99
$163.17
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
495 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$418.58
$-22.29
- NO
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1198 shares @ 40.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$305.50
$-173.72
- NO
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
772 shares @ 46.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$281.87
$-73.36
- NO
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5323 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$274.12
$-471.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer$0.00May 13, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$0.00May 13, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$216.59May 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.98May 13, 09:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 8, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.12May 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer$408.20May 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer$9.68May 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer$0.43May 6, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $46.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".