Spiffy-Labourer
0xbcdb3f694727332499f50b5c1e42bbedccba87d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$427.35
Total PnL
$-48.86
Realised
$131.19
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?
173 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$54.55
$-0.87
- NO
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
34 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$28.42
$0.01
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.90
$-3.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 81.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.75
$3.35
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$25.40
$16.60
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
70 shares @ 24.1¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.70
$4.80
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.45
$10.05
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
38 shares @ 55.2¢·now 49.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$18.51
$-2.33
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
39 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$17.82
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$0.65May 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$7.72May 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$64.00May 18, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union Bordeaux Begles win?$0.00May 18, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 18, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 18, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union Bordeaux Begles win?$6.39May 18, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 18, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$20.00May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.40May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$15.63May 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$7.00May 14, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.10May 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.60May 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.54May 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$4.86May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$11.40May 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.80May 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$6.60May 13, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$10.40May 13, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".